|Today I am going through the Chelmsford card with my thoughts race by race so hope this works for you? See below.
Results from Yesterday
NAP – WON at a short price but was tipped at 2/1
I did THREE BtLs in the tips section and several steers in the race by race yesterday in response to feedback from the survey!
One NR, Lovers Moon paid 100%, Berrahri drifted badly and then did nothing as did Note Bleu but World Title did deliver big time.
Race by race gave you THREE WINNERS. Big Country also ran well and traded at 1.8.
NB About 80% of all money traded on a race comes in the last 10 minutes. 50% in the last 5 minutes. If you see big market moves either in or out then take heed!
NAP OF THE DAY:
WAR GLORY Chelmsford 5.30
BACK TO LAY
LINCOLN PARK Chelmsford 5.00
4.00 Rainbow Pony has a great chance of opening his account. He was only just held LTO at Chepstow and Ryan Moore takes back over in the saddle. Ryan doesn’t get out of bed in the winter for less than one winner and I think this one and War Glory later will make this a nice trip out for him. Money this morning says Primo Bacio should be right there and may be worth a BtL?
4.30 This is one for the markets. As I’ve said in past Newsletters experience and the markets are the two things that will tell you your hores has a chance. If its drifting badly or there is a choice between two horses at the same price but one has experience then go for the experience. Ghaaliya seems to be the one aa I write but I won’t commit now to it.
5.00 Classy little affair and some decent enough naps running. Maktoum has two runners and I think one of them may be the answer to this one. Ghalyoon is unexposed still and can progress enough to win this with Jim Crowley the retain Maktoum jockey on board. Lincoln Park can lead from stall 3 and with Kingscote in great form who knows if he can stick it out off the final bend. BtL possibilities. Intuitive needs to bounce back however I’m not sure the race will be run to his liking and if he’s caught in mid field with the kick back he might not like it. Look out for any move in the betting as this will tell you.
5.30 War Glory is a 4 time winner here 2 over C&D and that counts for a lot. The other thing that counts for a lot is that this is Ryan Moore’s ride of the day and he isn’t here for the fun of riding.
6.00 I like the look of Australis – Jack Mitchell is an excellent jockey and Roger Varian is hot at the moment so I think he’ll win. However on the betting Australis is odds on which isn’t great value. So I might take a chance on Cosmelli running a blinder. A big drifter this morning means we have decent odds to do a back to lay and make some money as the price comes back in in running.
6.30 Pearl Beech was tipped here 3 days ago and won eased down. She is two lbs well in under a 6lb penalty and must be pretty hard to beat as long as she handles the quick turnaround. Casa Loupi might offer some value with Ryan riding for Gary. Only beaten a nose LTO (also under Ryan) he runs off the same mark. The longer trip might also suit. So if Pearl Beech falters then ..
7.00 Fitwood Star came from way of the pace weaving through the field to win emphatitcally at Wolves LTO. Up 9lbs for that win shouldn’t stop him following up and upped 1/2f should also be to his benefit. Chelmsford isn’t as easy for closers as Wolves so Jack Mitchell will have to have him handier this time. Having said that there is plenty of pace in the race so it should be run to suit the selection.
Best of luck if you are trading.
The InsideTraxs Team