Draw Bias & Pace Analysis
Ayr normally put their stalls on the stands rail (high) in sprints, and those drawn high, race on the stands side. This appears to be an advantage with two thirds of the winners being drawn in the top half. Ayr occasionally put there stalls on the far side (low) to preserve the ground and in these cases no draw bias appears to exist, although there isn’t a lot of data to go on.
Over 7 furlongs the track goes up hill for a couple of furlongs before going down and around the tight bend before going up hill for the last three furlongs to the finish. Horses need to be prominent and quite a few from the most outside draw seem to get a good position and do well.
The draw gives no advantage over the longer distances.
The running style favours hold up horses over the straight 5 & 6 furlongs as horses have plenty of time and width to get settled and make their runs. Over 7 & 8 furlongs it pays to be up with the pace as coming off the final bend there isn’t a great deal of distance for hold ups to get going (it’s up hill too and so takes some getting). The leader can grab the far side rails which is considered an advantage (there may be a slightly quicker strip up the rails?) and challengers need to come out and pass.
Trainers & Jockeys
|R Michael Smith||13.3|
|P J Mc Donald||14.6|