|Today it’s hints & tips for Southwell.
Results from Thursday
NAP – just beaten (anyone seen the photo as I was sure he won)
BtL – 100%+ return
PLACE VALUE Toronado Queen came close second.
NB About 80% of all money traded on a race comes in the last 10 minutes. 50% in the last 5 minutes. If you see big market moves either in or out then take heed!
NAP OF THE DAY:
BRIAN THE SNAIL – see below small stakes
BACK TO LAY
SAMOVAR – see below
LAY TO BACK:
VAN DIJK – see below
4.40 Van Dijk is such an annomily. He just about fall out of the stalls and then can virtually refuse to race or gives up 10-15l and looks completely out of it and then comes flying down the straight; and has won and come second doing this. I think the strategy might be to lay him and then back him to cover liabilities after a furlong or so (unless he refuses to race). Geography Teacher looks to have some form that would give him a good chance.
5.10 Not one for me with Jamie S on the favourite!
5.40 This race is about Nick Vedder and Samovar who are in form and on rising marks and who we know go on the track versus those on sliding marks or who haven’t been tested on fibresand. I will go for Samovar as a BtL as he will try and lead and still has a decent chance of holding on.
6.10 Brian The Snail carries the owner’s first colours and often with Koukash that does signal that he likes him better than Gabriel The Devil. The betting doesn’t reflect that. Fahey, who is in terrific form, trains both, and Hamilton appears to have chosen The Devil as well. So who will win. Reverse Forecast maybe.
6.40 Mulzim beat Duke of Firenze LTO and the way he did it means I think he could do so again under a penalty – I think though those two may well fight out the finish. Fantasy Keeper may get in on the act if reproducing LTO’s performance.
7.10 Thrave has the best of the conditions in this claiming stakes race.
7.40 A very tricky handicap with several in with a shout on their best form. De Bryune Horse is an HT tip who is probably too short now at 3/1.
Best of luck if you are trading.
The InsideTraxs Team