FREE flat racing tips for 9th June 2018 evening meeting at LINGFIELD

FREE tips for the only flat racing meeting tonight.

LINGFIELD:
TAI HANG DRAGON – 19.20

Has been running in better class events and his mark is slipping to something more workable. Has won here over the distance so there are several factors in his favour – reducing mark, lower grade and previous C&D win. Sean Levey is making the trek from riding in the 14.35 at Newmarket so he must think he will have at least a chance of a winner or two.

HAPPY ODESSY – 18.20

There is a massive draw bias at Lingfield over 5f where you just simply have to be drawn high to have any chance. In fact 42% of all winners come out of the highest draw while the widest 4 drawn horses have won 2/3 of all races. On the other side if drawn 1 to 6 you have a 4% chance of winning. That means if you back a horse coming out of stalls 1-6 you really need to be getting odds of 25/1 minimum to be getting value!! Happy Odessy is unraced but comes out of stall 13 – the outside stall – which statically gives her nearly an evens chance of winning on the draw alone – you can still get 9/2 if you’re quick.

The massive stall bias towards high drawn horses over 5f also exists over 6f but not quite as dramatic. Don’t waste your money on horses drawn 1 in 5f or 6f races.

One thought on “FREE flat racing tips for 9th June 2018 evening meeting at LINGFIELD

  • June 10, 2018 at 6:56 pm
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    REVIEW OF RESULTS
    LINGFIELD:
    Tai Hang Dragon – SIXTH
    Subject to a lot of bumping in the first 2 or 3f. Didn’t pick up and wasn’t given a hard time. Make Music made all to win for the fifth time (that’s all the races she has won have been at Lingfield). Sean Levey’s trek did pay off with a win on Embour in the 18.50.

    Happy Odessy – SECOND
    I hope no-one backed either the favourite (5/4, 6th) or the second favourite (11/4, 3rd) drawn 3 & 4 respectively as I strongly advised. Happy Odessy was a good bet, betfair starting price of 12/1, and could be backed for a place at around 5/2.

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