Draw Bias & Pace Analysis
Newbury is a very wide track and the stalls are positioned in the middle of the track for 5 furlong to one mile races. Races often develop with outside stalls (low & high) pulling in to leave a pack coming down the middle of the track (this can be two or even three packs with large fields). The draw advantage often follows the pace in the race.
The stats tell us that there is no draw bias and horses can win from any draw.
Because Newbury is a big wide open course it is very hard for front runners as the stats below indicate.
In terms of the individual distances, shown below is how Newbury ranks :
5 Furlongs – 27th out of 31 courses
6 Furlongs – 24th out of 29 courses
7 Furlongs – 19th out of 24 courses
8 Furlongs – 24th out of 30 courses
Newbury is among the most difficult courses in the country for front runners and this applies to longer distances as well with the 1m3f being one with only a very few front runner winners. This can be put down to the fact that there is a long flat run in which helps hold up horses and there are very few hard luck stories.
Trainers & Jockeys
|Sir Michael Stoute||13.8|
|Silvestre De Sousa||14.3|