Royal Ascot won’t see many front running victories says Mike Bennett of InsideTraxs.co.uk. The statistics show it is the most difficult course in the country to front run and win.
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Mike, from InsideTraxs, is doing a vlog review of each of the five days of Royal Ascot providing his opinion on each race and providing tips where he sees there is value or an angle.
Below is the video for DAY 1:
He also give a Tip of the Day which contains only those tips which he believes offer value or where he thinks there is a strong case to be made. Rarely if ever does Mike have a flutter based on whether he feels the horse may run well or he likes the sound of its name etc. A statistician, he works on probability and tries to see where better or worse odds are on offer.
An example is in this post:
Front runners at Ascot have a major disadvantage. The course is stiff and is up hill pretty much all the way up the straight. It means that front runners are using up too much energy early in the race and therefore fade in the final furlong. So whatever odds you get on a horse that front runs they really need to be double to represent value.
It doesn’t, by the way, mean that front runners never win at Ascot – it just means it will happen less than expected at the odds.